What to know for fantasy: Deebo Samuel 5 and Jayden Reed 2 are the only receivers to have scored multiple rushing touchdowns this season. Reed is being relied on as a rusher and receiver and should be included in fantasy lineups against a Buccaneers defense that gives up the sixth-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers.

Betting nugget: The Packers have won and covered three straight home games. Moody's pick: Packers 24, Buccaneers 19 Walder's pick: Packers 27, Buccaneers 16 FPI prediction: GB, Matchup must-reads: Mayfield's resiliency fuels Bucs' comeback in Atlanta What loss to Giants did to Packers' momentum, playoff odds.

ET CBS Spread : TEN Storyline to watch: The Titans have 10 passing plays of plus yards this season three-way tie for second place. Rookie QB Will Levis is responsible for five of them in his seven starts.

Houston's secondary is allowing There should be opportunities for Levis to continue his success at home, where he has passing yards and five touchdown passes in three games. Bold prediction: The Texans will rush for more than yards on the ground.

The Titans rank 14th in rushing yards allowed per game , and the Texans rank 26th in rushing yards per game But if they want to win, the Texans have no choice but to commit to the ground game with C.

Stroud likely out because of a concussion. Stat to know: Titans running back Derrick Henry has at least two rushing touchdowns in three straight games for the second time in his career, which ties the Jaguars' Travis Etienne Jr.

for the longest such streak this season. No NFL player has rushed for multiple touchdowns in four straight games since the Chargers' LaDainian Tomlinson did so in eight consecutive games in Matchup X factor: Texans cornerback Derek Stingley Jr. He has allowed minus And he and the rest of the young Texans stars will present a challenge for Levis.

Injuries: Texans Titans. What to know for fantasy: Tennessee receiver DeAndre Hopkins has averaged 8. This season, the Texans' defense has given up the seventh-most passing yards per game. It's also worth noting that Houston's defense has allowed the ninth-most receptions and sixth-most receiving yards to opposing running backs -- which bodes well for Titans RB Tyjae Spears.

Betting nugget: The Titans are outright and ATS against teams currently with winning records. Moody's pick: Titans 24, Texans 20 Walder's pick: Texans 20, Titans 10 FPI prediction: HOU, Matchup must-reads: Eiselen's journey from rugby in South Africa to being starstruck by Brady Levis leads 2 late TD drives as Titans pull off MNF shocker Levis is working on sliding.

ET CBS Spread : MIA Storyline to watch: The Dolphins' offense is hurting. Starting offensive linemen have missed a combined 21 games to injury this season, and that number will grow before the end of the year.

Guard Connor Williams will miss the remainder of the season, and OT Robert Hunt is not expected to play -- although OT Terron Armstead could make his return to the field. Miami could also be without wide receiver Tyreek Hill , who injured his ankle in Monday's loss to the Titans. His absence would mark uncharted territory as Hill has yet to miss a game since he was traded to the Dolphins in Can the Jets capitalize on Miami's injuries?

Bold prediction: Jets quarterback Zach Wilson will perform better against the Dolphins than Tim Boyle did three weeks ago -- but he also won't come close to duplicating his career-best game from last week Wilson hasn't played well against Miami zero touchdown passes in two starts , and he will be frustrated by the Vic Fangio-coached defense, not to mention cornerbacks Jalen Ramsey and Xavien Howard.

Stat to know: The Jets have lost 10 straight division road games, the longest active streak in the NFL and the Jets' second longest since the merger 12 straight from to ' Matchup X factor: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

He struggled Monday without Hill and now is facing the defense that, according to ESPN's FPI, is the best in the NFL.

This will be a test for the Dolphins' offense -- especially if Hill is out or limited again. What's at stake: Is Aaron Rodgers returning this season? Injuries: Jets Dolphins. What to know for fantasy: This season, Tagovailoa and Hill have connected 97 times for 1, yards.

Hill's availability will either positively or negatively impact Tagovailoa's fantasy potential against a Jets defense that allows the second-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.

Betting nugget: The Dolphins are ATS as favorites this season. Tagovailoa is ATS in his career as a favorite, including ATS when laying at least six points. Moody's pick: Dolphins 34, Jets 14 Walder's pick: Dolphins 20, Jets 16 FPI prediction: MIA, Matchup must-reads: Dolphins need to overcome loss to Titans, focus on Jets Wilson is auditioning for Jets backup, other NFL teams Dolphins lose Williams to torn ACL.

ET FOX Spread : NO -6 Storyline to watch: The Saints' passing offense has been struggling, and quarterback Derek Carr had only 37 passing yards through most of Sunday's win against the Panthers before throwing late touchdowns to Jimmy Graham and Chris Olave.

He finished with passing yards. Carr and the offense will look to get back on track against a Giants defense giving up Bold prediction: Giants running back Saquon Barkley will rush for plus yards. It's notable because he has topped yards on the ground only once this season.

But he's motivated by a late fumble against Green Bay, and the Saints' defense has allowed more than rushing yards in four of its past six games.

Stat to know: Giants QB Tommy DeVito has seven passing touchdowns in four career starts, tied for the second-most passing touchdowns by a player through their first four starts with the Giants since quarterback starts were first tracked in trailing only Fran Tarkenton's eight passing touchdowns in Matchup X factor: Giants wide receiver Wan'Dale Robinson.

He's coming off his biggest receiving game of the season, catching six passes for 79 yards in the Giants' dramatic win over the Packers. If Robinson can develop into a consistent playmaker, that would go far for the Giants' offense. Lose, and it's an uphill climb, though. And on the other sideline, can DeVito get the Giants another win?

Injuries: Giants Saints. What to know for fantasy: On the road, the Giants' defense has allowed 3. Because New York's defense gives up the third-most fantasy points to wide receivers, Olave is in a great spot at the Caesars Superdome.

Betting nugget: The Saints are ATS at home this season. Moody's pick: Saints 21, Giants 17 Walder's pick: Saints 19, Giants 16 FPI prediction: NO, Matchup must-reads: Does DeVito have a future with the Giants? Graham helping Saints solve red zone woes DeVito's agent, Stellato, embraces viral fame Shaheed thigh plans to play vs.

ET FOX Spread : KC Storyline to watch: Patriots coach Bill Belichick is second on the all-time wins list , including playoffs , while Chiefs coach Andy Reid is closing ground quickly as his victories rank him fourth all time. This is the first time that two head coaches in the top five in career regular-season wins have faced each other since Week 4 of when Don Shula's Dolphins met Chuck Noll's Steelers.

This game was originally scheduled for ESPN's "Monday Night Football" before becoming the first-ever MNF game flexed to Sunday this is the first year the league has experimented with flexing Monday games , mainly due to the Patriots' struggles.

Bold prediction: The Chiefs will sack Patriots quarterback Bailey Zappe at least four times. The pass rush has been the best part of the Chiefs' defense in recent games. They are tied for the third-most sacks in the league with Patriots quarterbacks have been sacked 14 times in the past four games, and the Chiefs should have plenty of opportunity to add to that total.

Stat to know: Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is six receptions shy of for his career. Sunday will be his th career game. He also has 74 career receiving touchdowns, two shy of matching Tony Gonzalez for the most in Chiefs history.

Matchup X factor: Chiefs DT Chris Jones. As long as Jones and the Chiefs' defense take care of business in what should be a cake assignment, the Chiefs' lack of receivers won't even matter.

The defense can set the struggling Chiefs offense up for success. Injuries: Chiefs Patriots. What to know for fantasy: Patriots running back Ezekiel Elliott has had 21 touches in two consecutive games with Rhamondre Stevenson dealing with a high ankle sprain.

Because of Elliott's volume, he's firmly on the radar as an RB2. Betting nugget: The Patriots are ATS this season, the worst cover percentage in the NFL. Moody's pick: Chiefs 27, Patriots 13 Walder's pick: Chiefs 30, Patriots 9 FPI prediction: KC, Matchup must-reads: Mahomes' message to Toney: 'Just be you' Belichick on Patriots future: 'I'm getting ready for K.

Mahomes regrets outburst, interaction with Allen What's next for Belichick and the Patriots? ET FOX Spread : ATL -3 Storyline to watch: This game matters more for Atlanta, in a three-way tie with New Orleans and Tampa Bay for the NFC South division lead.

The Panthers have been focused the past few weeks on establishing the running game to take pressure off quarterback Bryce Young , and the Falcons have a top run defense that has allowed an NFL-low five rushing touchdowns. Young is coming off arguably the worst game Bold prediction: This game won't be decided until late in the fourth quarter.

While Carolina has the NFL's worst record, the Panthers have been within one possession in the fourth quarter in their past five games all losses. Atlanta has been in one-possession games in eight of its past nine contests.

Expect to see that again -- and see the Falcons use a combination of Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson to close out the game with two run-heavy possessions, giving Robinson over all-purpose yards. Stat to know: The Panthers have scored fewer than 20 points in seven straight games, already the longest streak in franchise history.

Should they score fewer than 20 points on Sunday, they will tie the Giants for the longest such streak by any team this season eight games. Matchup X factor: Panthers cornerback Jaycee Horn. Thus far in a tiny sample, he has allowed a high 2. But we know he's capable of being a difference-maker on defense.

Carolina will need him to slow down Drake London when they match up, as London is coming off a yard receiving game. What's at stake: More NFC South intrigue! Injuries: Falcons Panthers.

What to know for fantasy: The Falcons In two of his past three games, Robinson has scored 20 or more fantasy points. Betting nugget: The Falcons are ATS in their past six division games they failed to cover last week.

Moody's pick: Falcons 27, Panthers 17 Walder's pick: Falcons 30, Panthers 13 FPI prediction: ATL, Matchup must-reads: How the Falcons' 'positionless attitude' could affect Pitts' future What Young, Panthers can learn from team Was loss to Saints 'rock bottom' for Young, Panthers?

ET CBS Spread : LAR Green Bay opens this contest as 9. This matchup report has your NFL football pick of the day as well as NFL football odds for the game. Houston opens this matchup as 9-point dogs.

The total is This matchup report has Vegas lines and an expert NFL football pick for your daily winner. The Detroit Lions will play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Ford Field on Sunday.

Detroit opens this matchup as 6. This report has odds and your NFL football predictions for todays game against the spread. The Buffalo Bills are welcoming the Kansas City Chiefs at Highmark Stadium on Sunday.

Kansas City opens as 2. This game report has an NFL football pick, betting odds, and predictions for tonights key matchup. The Cleveland Browns are on their way to NRG Stadium on Saturday where they will compete against the Houston Texans Houston opens as 3-point dogs.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are on their way to Highmark Stadium on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Buffalo Bills Pittsburgh opens as point dogs. Raymond James Stadium is the site where the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will meet the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday.

Philadelphia opens this game as 2. This games report has current odds, betting predictions, and free picks against the spread. The Detroit Lions are hosting the Los Angeles Rams at Ford Field on Sunday.

Los Angeles opens this game as 3-point dogs. This matchup report includes Vegas odds and a free NFL prediction for tonight.

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Free NFL picks against the spread One of the most popular ways to bet on the NFL is against the spread. After his team allowed more ground yards in last Sunday's home loss to the Steelers, Carroll wasn't exactly thrilled about the effort in a Tuesday appearance on Seattle Sports radio : "We didn't tackle as well as we needed to , we didn't pursue properly on some stuff and so we got exposed on the edge, and it just looked crappy.

And now the 'Hawks visit the Cardinals, who have eclipsed yards rushing in two of the last three weeks, with James Conner running like a man possessed and Kyler Murray always a threat to hurt you with his legs.

Feels like the kind of formula to give Seattle its second losing record in the past three seasons. Why Ali is taking the Bears: Matt Eberflus can downplay the significance of Sunday's showdown with the Packers all he wants, but this game has franchise-altering implications -- for both squads.

Think I'm being hyperbolic? Just look at the NFC North-winning Lions, who found themselves in a similar situation at the end of last season. Their victory at Lambeau Field in Week 18 -- the Lions' fifth win over their final six games and first at Green Bay since -- eliminated the Packers from playoff contention and propelled Detroit to a historic campaign.

Fast-forward 12 months. The Bears enter Sunday's contest having won four of their previous five games, seeking their first victory at Lambeau since , with an opportunity to end the Packers' season. By beating Green Bay, the Bears would earn their third straight W within the division after starting under Eberflus and further validate the growing optimism that their current head coach and quarterback are the right individuals to lead the franchise going forward.

A win for the Packers would bring its own level of validation, of course, with a postseason berth proving the front office was right about Jordan Love and the vision for the organization's future. A loss by either team -- particularly an ugly one -- could potentially have the opposite effect.

This game feels like a true toss-up, with both quarterbacks playing with a ton of confidence and both defenses coming off of dominant performances. But much like I believed in Week 1 , I think the Bears' secondary -- with the benefit of a vastly improved pass rush -- makes the difference this weekend.

Second time's the charm? Why Gennaro is taking the Chargers: With Kansas City locked into the No. Funny -- the Chargers have been resting starters for weeks, just not by choice. Another snake-bitten season for the Bolts has seen injuries befall franchise cornerstones Justin Herbert , Keenan Allen , Mike Williams and Joey Bosa.

Consequently, backups like QB Easton Stick have gotten used to this whole starting thing. So, while Kansas City is incorporating a slew of lineup changes this week, it's basically business as usual for Los Angeles. In his third game since taking the reins after Brandon Staley's firing , Giff Smith logs his first win.

Why Tom is taking the Raiders: When it comes to picking teams with nothing left to play for on the final day of the regular season, vibes are king. And does anything scream "vibes to believe in" louder than an interim coach who has gotten his group to play hard and is surely looking to put an exclamation point on his case for being given the full-time job?

Sean Payton's next most important task is figuring out what to do with the Broncos in March and April. Antonio Pierce, meanwhile, should have Las Vegas plenty fired up at home. Why Ali is taking the Eagles: The cracks were apparent even during the Eagles' start.

But when the 49ers blew down the doors of the Linc in Week 13 , those vulnerabilities looked to be significant enough to prevent Philly from another Super Bowl run.

The Eagles have gone just since then, losing their hold on the NFC East and the conference's No. The good news: They appear to have reached rock bottom after last Sunday's shocking collapse vs. the Cardinals. The better news: Their lone victory since the start of December came against their Week 18 opponent.

In fact, Nick Sirianni's club has beaten the G-Men five straight times. While the Eagles aren't going to solve a season's worth of problems over a single Sunday, they lean on star wideout A. Brown to help stave off a feisty Giants team, leaving New Jersey with a much-needed win and a bit of momentum heading into the playoffs.

Why Brooke is taking the 49ers: The Rams are one of the hottest teams league-wide since RB Kyren Williams ' return in Week 12, averaging BUT, Carson Wentz is getting the start in order to rest Matthew Stafford for the playoffs. Could this be a Wentz- Sam Darnold backup battle for the ages?

Um, sure? Kyle Shanahan said his starters -- except Brock Purdy and Christian McCaffrey calf -- will play significant time, leading me to take the Niners here. Why Ali is taking the Cowboys: Dallas entered the final weekend of seemingly destined for the NFC's fifth seed and a road playoff game.

Combine a controversial ending with a massive upset , and within 48 hours, the Cowboys found themselves ringing in the new year atop the NFC East and in control of the conference's No. Why Gennaro is taking the Bills: Every NFL campaign is a war of attrition.

And as we head into the nd and final game of the regular season -- a de facto AFC East title bout -- one team is losing the battle.

While Buffalo encountered a vicious injury bug in October -- losing critical pieces on all three levels of the defense -- the Bills weathered the storm and now seem like they've come out on the other side.

Yeah, star QB Josh Allen 's a little banged up, but by and large, this feels like the healthiest Buffalo has been since September. The same cannot be said about Miami. The team's two star edge rushers -- Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips -- are on injured reserve.

The offensive line has been a MASH unit all season. And Wednesday's injury report was a depressingly star-studded list. Long story short, the Dolphins are limping into the playoffs, while the Bills are surging down the stretch with a four-game win streak in tow.

Why Tom is taking the Steelers: Lamar Jackson will be smartly stowed in bubble wrap for this one. The Steelers, meanwhile, have plenty on the line to motivate them: chiefly, a chance to end their weird season by making the playoffs behind a third consecutive Mason Rudolph win.

Pittsburgh ultimately will need some help on Sunday in order to punch a postseason ticket, but first things first Saturday night. This could be the Ravens' third consecutive January home loss to the Steelers without Jackson on the field, but it would be under much happier conditions than the last two.

Why Brooke is taking the Texans: The last time these teams clashed was all the way back in Week 2, when the Colts prevailed The Week 18 versions of these clubs are completely different , as Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans stated earlier this week.

Stroud has proven to be one of the more consistent quarterbacks this season with a TD-to-INT ratio, which leads all qualified QBs, per NFL Research. That consistency could be in jeopardy against a Colts D that pressured Stroud a season-high 25 times in their last outing.

Not to mention, Stroud is with just four pass TDs in road games. In my eyes, though, the Texans are the better team right now with a top-five run defense that should keep the Jonathan Taylor -led Colts' rushing attack at bay and an opportunistic pass defense -- albeit, a banged-up one -- that could make Gardner Minshew pay if he's not careful.

Texans win. Visit ResponsiblePlay. org to learn more about responsible betting. Can Patrick Mahomes and the underdog Chiefs knock off the Lamar Jackson-led Ravens in Baltimore? Will the Lions upset the 49ers to reach the Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history?

Check the game picks for Championship Sunday! Will the Buccaneers storm Detroit and upset the Lions in a raucous Ford Field? And who wins the latest installment of Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen? Check out all of the Divisional Round game picks! Can Josh Allen and the Bills survive the Pittsburgh Steelers?

Who wins Monday night's showdown between the banged-up Eagles and Bucs? Check out all of the game picks for Super Wild Card Weekend!

Can the Ravens lock up the AFC's No. Will the Buccaneers clinch the NFC South by taking down the Saints? Check out all of the Week 17 game picks!

Who wins an epic Christmas clash between the Ravens and 49ers? Check out all of the Week 16 game picks! Can the Bills end the Cowboys' five-game win streak?

Who prevails in a fascinating showdown between the Ravens and Jaguars? Will Tommy DeVito spin more magic for the Giants? Check out all of the Week 15 game picks! Who wins the enticing quarterback duel between Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes?

Will the Eagles or Cowboys prevail in Sunday night's massive NFC East matchup? Check out the Week 14 NFL game picks! Who wins an epic showdown between the 49ers and Eagles?

Will the Broncos stay hot in Houston? Can Jordan Love hang with Patrick Mahomes on the prime-time stage?

Check out the Week 13 NFL game picks! Can the Bills hand the Eagles just their second loss of the season? Who will win a spicy AFC South showdown between the Jaguars and Texans? Check out the Week 12 NFL game picks! Do the Steelers or Browns prevail in Sunday's crucial AFC North showdown?

Can the Vikings extend the league's longest active winning streak? Will the Eagles or Chiefs take Monday's Super Bowl rematch? Check out the Week 11 NFL game picks! Can the 49ers get back on track Sunday in Jacksonville?

Will the Bengals and Ravens, who are each hosting a challenging visitor, stay red hot? Check out the Week 10 NFL game picks! Game Picks. Week 18 NFL picks: Bills or Dolphins in de facto AFC East title game? Will Packers punch playoff ticket? Published: Jan 04, at PM. Around the NFL Staff NFL. Table inside Article Analyst Record straight Record ATS Ali Brooke Dan Gennaro Tom Consensus Picks Related Links.

NFL Power Rankings, Week Cowboys replace Eagles in top five; Dolphins slip as playoffs loom NFL playoff picture: Postseason probabilities entering Week 18 of season Who will win Super Bowl LVIII? Ranking 9 most likely NFL champions as regular season winds down Pro Bowl Games snubs: Josh Allen, Brandon Aiyuk among players left out NFL Draft order: Bears clinch No.

The lines provided by Caesars Sportsbook are current as of noon ET on Thursday, Jan. SUNDAY, JAN. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Carolina Panthers. WHERE: Bank of America Stadium Charlotte, N. WHEN: 1 p. Table inside Article Ali Brooke Dan Gennaro Tom Buccaneers Buccaneers Cleveland Browns.

Cincinnati Bengals. WHERE: Paycor Stadium Cincinnati WHEN: 1 p.

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NFL Best Trends NBA Best Trends MLB Best Trends. This season, the Texans' defense has given up the seventh-most passing yards per game. It's also worth noting that Houston's defense has allowed the ninth-most receptions and sixth-most receiving yards to opposing running backs -- which bodes well for Titans RB Tyjae Spears.

Betting nugget: The Titans are outright and ATS against teams currently with winning records. Moody's pick: Titans 24, Texans 20 Walder's pick: Texans 20, Titans 10 FPI prediction: HOU, Matchup must-reads: Eiselen's journey from rugby in South Africa to being starstruck by Brady Levis leads 2 late TD drives as Titans pull off MNF shocker Levis is working on sliding.

ET CBS Spread : MIA Storyline to watch: The Dolphins' offense is hurting. Starting offensive linemen have missed a combined 21 games to injury this season, and that number will grow before the end of the year.

Guard Connor Williams will miss the remainder of the season, and OT Robert Hunt is not expected to play -- although OT Terron Armstead could make his return to the field. Miami could also be without wide receiver Tyreek Hill , who injured his ankle in Monday's loss to the Titans.

His absence would mark uncharted territory as Hill has yet to miss a game since he was traded to the Dolphins in Can the Jets capitalize on Miami's injuries? Bold prediction: Jets quarterback Zach Wilson will perform better against the Dolphins than Tim Boyle did three weeks ago -- but he also won't come close to duplicating his career-best game from last week Wilson hasn't played well against Miami zero touchdown passes in two starts , and he will be frustrated by the Vic Fangio-coached defense, not to mention cornerbacks Jalen Ramsey and Xavien Howard.

Stat to know: The Jets have lost 10 straight division road games, the longest active streak in the NFL and the Jets' second longest since the merger 12 straight from to ' Matchup X factor: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. He struggled Monday without Hill and now is facing the defense that, according to ESPN's FPI, is the best in the NFL.

This will be a test for the Dolphins' offense -- especially if Hill is out or limited again. What's at stake: Is Aaron Rodgers returning this season? Injuries: Jets Dolphins. What to know for fantasy: This season, Tagovailoa and Hill have connected 97 times for 1, yards.

Hill's availability will either positively or negatively impact Tagovailoa's fantasy potential against a Jets defense that allows the second-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks.

Betting nugget: The Dolphins are ATS as favorites this season. Tagovailoa is ATS in his career as a favorite, including ATS when laying at least six points.

Moody's pick: Dolphins 34, Jets 14 Walder's pick: Dolphins 20, Jets 16 FPI prediction: MIA, Matchup must-reads: Dolphins need to overcome loss to Titans, focus on Jets Wilson is auditioning for Jets backup, other NFL teams Dolphins lose Williams to torn ACL.

ET FOX Spread : NO -6 Storyline to watch: The Saints' passing offense has been struggling, and quarterback Derek Carr had only 37 passing yards through most of Sunday's win against the Panthers before throwing late touchdowns to Jimmy Graham and Chris Olave. He finished with passing yards.

Carr and the offense will look to get back on track against a Giants defense giving up Bold prediction: Giants running back Saquon Barkley will rush for plus yards.

It's notable because he has topped yards on the ground only once this season. But he's motivated by a late fumble against Green Bay, and the Saints' defense has allowed more than rushing yards in four of its past six games. Stat to know: Giants QB Tommy DeVito has seven passing touchdowns in four career starts, tied for the second-most passing touchdowns by a player through their first four starts with the Giants since quarterback starts were first tracked in trailing only Fran Tarkenton's eight passing touchdowns in Matchup X factor: Giants wide receiver Wan'Dale Robinson.

He's coming off his biggest receiving game of the season, catching six passes for 79 yards in the Giants' dramatic win over the Packers. If Robinson can develop into a consistent playmaker, that would go far for the Giants' offense.

Lose, and it's an uphill climb, though. And on the other sideline, can DeVito get the Giants another win? Injuries: Giants Saints. What to know for fantasy: On the road, the Giants' defense has allowed 3.

Because New York's defense gives up the third-most fantasy points to wide receivers, Olave is in a great spot at the Caesars Superdome. Betting nugget: The Saints are ATS at home this season. Moody's pick: Saints 21, Giants 17 Walder's pick: Saints 19, Giants 16 FPI prediction: NO, Matchup must-reads: Does DeVito have a future with the Giants?

Graham helping Saints solve red zone woes DeVito's agent, Stellato, embraces viral fame Shaheed thigh plans to play vs. ET FOX Spread : KC Storyline to watch: Patriots coach Bill Belichick is second on the all-time wins list , including playoffs , while Chiefs coach Andy Reid is closing ground quickly as his victories rank him fourth all time.

This is the first time that two head coaches in the top five in career regular-season wins have faced each other since Week 4 of when Don Shula's Dolphins met Chuck Noll's Steelers. This game was originally scheduled for ESPN's "Monday Night Football" before becoming the first-ever MNF game flexed to Sunday this is the first year the league has experimented with flexing Monday games , mainly due to the Patriots' struggles.

Bold prediction: The Chiefs will sack Patriots quarterback Bailey Zappe at least four times. The pass rush has been the best part of the Chiefs' defense in recent games.

They are tied for the third-most sacks in the league with Patriots quarterbacks have been sacked 14 times in the past four games, and the Chiefs should have plenty of opportunity to add to that total.

Stat to know: Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is six receptions shy of for his career. Sunday will be his th career game. He also has 74 career receiving touchdowns, two shy of matching Tony Gonzalez for the most in Chiefs history. Matchup X factor: Chiefs DT Chris Jones.

As long as Jones and the Chiefs' defense take care of business in what should be a cake assignment, the Chiefs' lack of receivers won't even matter. The defense can set the struggling Chiefs offense up for success. Injuries: Chiefs Patriots. What to know for fantasy: Patriots running back Ezekiel Elliott has had 21 touches in two consecutive games with Rhamondre Stevenson dealing with a high ankle sprain.

Because of Elliott's volume, he's firmly on the radar as an RB2. Betting nugget: The Patriots are ATS this season, the worst cover percentage in the NFL. Moody's pick: Chiefs 27, Patriots 13 Walder's pick: Chiefs 30, Patriots 9 FPI prediction: KC, Matchup must-reads: Mahomes' message to Toney: 'Just be you' Belichick on Patriots future: 'I'm getting ready for K.

Mahomes regrets outburst, interaction with Allen What's next for Belichick and the Patriots? ET FOX Spread : ATL -3 Storyline to watch: This game matters more for Atlanta, in a three-way tie with New Orleans and Tampa Bay for the NFC South division lead.

The Panthers have been focused the past few weeks on establishing the running game to take pressure off quarterback Bryce Young , and the Falcons have a top run defense that has allowed an NFL-low five rushing touchdowns.

Young is coming off arguably the worst game Bold prediction: This game won't be decided until late in the fourth quarter. While Carolina has the NFL's worst record, the Panthers have been within one possession in the fourth quarter in their past five games all losses. Atlanta has been in one-possession games in eight of its past nine contests.

Expect to see that again -- and see the Falcons use a combination of Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson to close out the game with two run-heavy possessions, giving Robinson over all-purpose yards.

Stat to know: The Panthers have scored fewer than 20 points in seven straight games, already the longest streak in franchise history.

Should they score fewer than 20 points on Sunday, they will tie the Giants for the longest such streak by any team this season eight games.

Matchup X factor: Panthers cornerback Jaycee Horn. Thus far in a tiny sample, he has allowed a high 2. But we know he's capable of being a difference-maker on defense.

Carolina will need him to slow down Drake London when they match up, as London is coming off a yard receiving game. What's at stake: More NFC South intrigue! Injuries: Falcons Panthers. What to know for fantasy: The Falcons In two of his past three games, Robinson has scored 20 or more fantasy points.

Betting nugget: The Falcons are ATS in their past six division games they failed to cover last week. Moody's pick: Falcons 27, Panthers 17 Walder's pick: Falcons 30, Panthers 13 FPI prediction: ATL, Matchup must-reads: How the Falcons' 'positionless attitude' could affect Pitts' future What Young, Panthers can learn from team Was loss to Saints 'rock bottom' for Young, Panthers?

ET CBS Spread : LAR Storyline to watch: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford has thrown at least three touchdowns in three straight games, tied for the longest streak of his career. The Commanders are the NFL's worst passing defense in DVOA and have allowed a league-high 30 passing touchdowns.

Bold prediction: Rams receiver Puka Nacua will have three yard plays Sunday, including one for a touchdown. He is fourth in the NFL with 21 receptions of 20 yards or more, and their offense also ranks fourth in such plays.

Meanwhile, Washington ranks last in passing yards allowed per game and has allowed the second-most pass plays for 20 yards or more.

Stat to know: With two sacks Sunday, Commanders quarterback Sam Howell would become the fourth different player fifth instance of a quarterback taking at least 60 sacks through their first 14 games of a season. Howell has taken multiple sacks in all but one game this season Week 8 vs.

the Eagles. Matchup X factor: Rams edge rusher Byron Young. What's at stake: The Rams have a big swing in play here. Injuries: Commanders Rams. What to know for fantasy: The Commanders' defense gives up the second-most fantasy points to quarterbacks.

Wide receivers also score the second-most fantasy points per game against Washington's defense. Betting nugget: The Commanders are ATS as road underdogs this season.

Moody's pick: Rams 33, Commanders 19 Walder's pick: Rams 34, Commanders 30 FPI prediction: LAR, Matchup must-reads: Inside the Commanders' high-stakes season and what comes next Two Rams land in the latest top rookie rankings Upset Commanders players not only ones frustrated.

ET CBS Spread : SF Storyline to watch: Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray hasn't played the 49ers since October , a stretch of four games and more than two years, because of injuries. The last time he lined up against San Francisco, he won. Murray is since he returned from an ACL injury and refreshed coming off the bye.

The Niners don't have any fresh tape of facing Murray, including tape of Murray in the Cardinals' new scheme.